- What were the imports of petroleum products from India as a % of
U.S. total imports in 2014, 2018, 2021-24? Inspite of being self-sufficient in crude
oil, why does the U.S. import products from India? U.S. Refinery capacity is
more to process Hard Crude but not Light crude that it largely produces now,
hence imports.
For
the past few weeks there is a lot of talk of export of Russian Oil by India to
the U.S. Peter Navarro, White House Trade Advisor, made numerous allegations
against India the latest being against
Brahmins.
Wish
Peter ji reads this article in American Fuel Oil and Manufacturers Association “In 2021, the U.S. imported an average of 199,000 barrels per day (bpd) of crude oil and 473,000 bpd of other petroleum products from Russia. Although Russian crude accounts for only 3% of U.S. crude oil imports and about 1%t of total crude oil processed by U.S. refineries—Russian crude oil imports are important to refineries on the West Coast and Gulf Coast.” Did U.S. contribute to Russia’s war kitty?
In response to accusations on buying Russian oil note. India’s External Affairs Minister Dr S Jaishankar aptly said, “India forced none to buy. If you do not like it, do not buy.”
Importantly,
this article shares insights on why the U.S. is buying processed oils from
India whilst highlighting some complexities of the oil business.
Since
am not a domain expert reached out to friends who asked me to visit https://www.eia.gov/ i.e. the U.S.
Energy Administration Information site. It was followed by an online search and
chat with learned friends. Read on.
According
to this EIA link, U.S. Crude Oil
and Product Imports were-
Table1Imports from India
Trend - Per Thousand Barrels
Year
|
Imports
from India
|
Total
U.S. Imports
|
India
imports as % of US imports
|
2014
|
33235
|
3372904
|
.99
|
2018
|
27113
|
3629042
|
.75
|
2021
|
36419
|
3092978
|
1.18
|
2022
|
24974
|
3040020
|
.82
|
2023
|
39508
|
3112016
|
1.27
|
2024
|
26455
|
3088150
|
.86
|
Sourcing
from India as a % of total U.S. imports is miniscule. Even before the Ukraine
war started, imports were 1.18% in 2021. Indeed, they peaked at 1.27% in 2023
only to fall substantially to .86% in 2024.
Next
Company Level Imports on this EIA link
gives month wise imports (probably each
transaction).
I
reviewed data for three months of 2024 and found these products imported from
India-Unfinished Oils, Heavy Gas Oils, All Other
Motor Gas Blending Components, All Other Motor Gas Blending Components, MGBC,
Gasoline Treated as Blendstock (GTAB), Unfinished Oils, Heavy Gas Oils, Jet
Fuel, Kerosene-Type. If U.S. companies/traders had stock why would they import?
The name of importers is given and known to
the U.S. government. If such was the concern, the same products could be
sourced from other countries.
Which are the largest producers and
consumers of Crude Oil?
According to 2023 figures, the largest producers are USA, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Canada and Iraq. Reasons for increase in production vary. U.S.’s was due to the shale oil revolution and new oil capacities, Russia’s due to the Russia-Ukraine War, Canada due to increasing processing of oil sands and Iraq’s production has grown by app 4mbpd as the situation somewhat stabilised after the war.
According to 2023 figures, largest
consumers are USA, China, India, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Japan the first three
consume 18%, 17%, 6% of global consumption.
Source for both paras
information is BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2024.
Aside, which are the largest
exporters of Crude Oil to the U.S.?
A search revealed the countries are Canada
followed by Mexico. Other significant suppliers are Saudi Arabia, Iraq, and Colombia, though the exact order and
percentages may vary from year to year.
But, is not the U.S. said to be self-sufficient
in crude oil!
It is amongst the world’s top producers of crude oil. According to this EIA link, the top 5 producing states of crude oil in
2022 were Texas (annexed in 1845), New Mexico, North Dakota, Colarado, Alaska (purchased
from Russia in 1867).
Why does U.S. import and export
crude and petroleum products?
We must know that not all crude oil is the same. According to a search, “Different types have varying chemical compositions and densities. A country's refineries may be specifically designed to process certain grades of oil, such as heavy, high-sulphur crude.” Further, crude could be sour or sweet.
Historically U.S. refineries were made to
process heavy crude supplied by Canada and Mexico. But, today the U.S. is producing
more of Light crude. U.S. refinery capacity to process light oils is limited
hence they export. Further, given that U.S. is a huge country sometimes it
makes economic sense for states on the West or East Coast to import petroleum
products rather than source locally.
According to this article in Nasdaq.com, “The U.S. does produce enough oil to meet its own needs, but it is the wrong type of oil. Crude is graded according to two main metrics, weight and sweetness. The weight of oil defines how easy it is to refine, or break down into its usable component parts, such as gasoline, jet fuel and diesel. Light crude is the easiest to handle, heavy is the most difficult, with intermediate obviously somewhere in between. The sweetness refers to the sulphur content of unrefined oil. The sweeter it is, the less sulphur it contains.”
Note that if refineries that were made to process
heavy crude process light crude it adversely affects input-output ratio and
profitability. Typically, refineries that process heavy crude are high on
capital expenditure but have lower operating cost while those that process
light crude are high on operating cost but low on capex.
This
Washington Post
article reiterates the above and says, “There’s a mismatch between the new production we’re developing as an industry and our country’s existing refining capacity,” said Ryan Lance, ConocoPhillips Chairman and CEO. “To process this new, lighter oil, refineries would have to operate inefficiently or at a reduced rate. They need to buy oil at a discount in order to make it economic to refine it, which hurts domestic producers and ultimately, consumers.””
Explained on EIA link-U.S. Oil and Petroleum products imports and
exports
Key Takeaways
1. The percentage of U.S. imports of petroleum
products from India is miniscule.
2. The U.S. is forced to import such products
from countries like India because of a mismatch between the oil grade it
produces and its refinery capacity.
3. The U.S. needs to increase refining capacity
to process light crude that it currently produces.
4. Study of U.S. Refinery Capacity of Heavy and
Light Crude, highlighting gaps would need a separate article.
Utmost care taken in culling out data. Errors
if any are unintentional and without malafide intent. I admire the U.S. for its
innovation. The EIA is an
informative site Some may try to provoke India. Stay calm, let facts and actions speak.
Read, reflect and decide. Feedback welcome.
I am grateful to friends for guiding me.
eSamskriti is grateful to SMART for co-supporting the esamskriti knowledge
sharing effort.
This article should not be republished without
written permission of www.esamskriti.com
Also read
1. India Russia Trump Oil – The Facts
2. India is a Union of States not a Federation like USA
This
is the eight in a series of articles post Trump Tariffs. One, explained what
is trade deficit? Two, looked at both the trade and geo political issues. What does U.S.A. want? What is President’s Trump’s approach and Implications? 15 IDEAS how India can respond. Three, Look at Trade
Deficit Numbers after removing APPLE Iphone exports Four, US Needs Indian
Pharma products and India needs US market . Five, Cooperate,
Compete, Aatmanirbharta should be India’s MANTRAS in this UNCERTAIN world . Six, What India Inc
MUST DO to Reduce Imports from China . Seven, 15 Ways India can
respond to U.S. Sanctions